The GVG Report

Keeping the talking heads honest, since 1979

December 11th, 2011

Week 14 Season 46 Game Breakdown Using "The BW Rating System"

Here is what we found the week for the BW Rating System:

  • The home team running game vs the visiting team running defense

  • The home team passing game vs the visiting passing defense

  • The visiting team rushing game vs the home team rushing defense

  • The visiting team passing game vs the home team passing defense

Bucs vs Jaguars TAM offense has the edge in passing against JAC defense JAC defense will kill in rushing against TAM offense TAM defense has a slight edge in passing against JAC offense JAC offense has clear advantage in rushing against TAM defense Looks like the Jags shut down the run and get a good run game of their own.

Patriots vs Redskins NEP offense will dominate in passing against WAS defense NEP offense will control in rushing against WAS defense NEP defense has the edge in passing against WAS offense NEP defense has the advantage in rushing against WAS offense Patriots in all categories

Texans vs Bengals HOU offense has clear advantage in passing against CIN defense HOU offense has the edge in rushing against CIN defense HOU defense will kill in passing against CIN offense HOU defense has a slight edge in rushing against CIN offense Texans defense is still strong, but can TJ get it done offensively? Close game in store?

Chiefs vs Jets NYJ defense will dominate in passing against KAN offense NYJ defense will kill in rushing against KAN offense KAN defense has the advantage in passing against NYJ offense KAN defense has no advantage in rushing against NYJ offense Chiefs will have very little offense. The Jets will have very little offense. Low scoring game.

Vikings vs Lions MIN offense has the edge in passing against DET defense MIN offense has the advantage in rushing against DET defense DET offense will kill in passing against MIN defense DET offense has the edge in rushing against MIN defense Offensive battle.

Saints vs Titans NOS offense will kill in passing against TEN defense TEN defense has no advantage in rushing against NOS offense NOS defense has no advantage in passing against TEN offense TEN offense has the advantage in rushing against NOS defense Maybe a lot closer than people think. 3 points?

Eagles vs Dolphins MIA defense will kill in passing against PHI offense PHI offense has the advantage in rushing against MIA defense MIA offense will kill in passing against PHI defense MIA offense has a slight edge in rushing against PHI defense Dolphins by 7.

Raiders vs Packers GBP defense has no advantage in passing against OAK offense OAK offense has the advantage in rushing against GBP defense GBP offense has the advantage in passing against OAK defense GBP offense will dominate in rushing against OAK defense Packers should cruise in this one. The Raiders are banged up too much.

Colts vs Ravens BAL defense has the advantage in passing against IND offense BAL defense has the edge in rushing against IND offense BAL offense has clear advantage in passing against IND defense BAL offense will kill in rushing against IND defense Cake walk. But like the Steelers, these games are always too close.

Falcons vs Panthers ATL offense has the edge in passing against CAR defense ATL offense has the edge in rushing against CAR defense ATL defense has no advantage in passing against CAR offense CAR offense will kill in rushing against ATL defense The Falcons should be able to put up some points, Can they stop the Cam ground game?

Bears vs Broncos DEN defense will dominate in passing against CHI offense DEN defense has the advantage in rushing against CHI offense DEN offense has a slight edge in passing against CHI defense CHI defense will control in rushing against DEN offense The Bears have NO offense. Yet. Their defense cannot do everything. Broncos.

Niners vs Cards ARI defense has no advantage in passing against SFF offense SFF offense has a slight edge in rushing against ARI defense SFF defense will kill in passing against ARI offense SFF defense will dominate in rushing against ARI offense Niners by 8.

Bills vs Chargers BUF offense has a slight edge in passing against SDC defense SDC defense will control in rushing against BUF offense SDC offense will dominate in passing against BUF defense SDC offense will control in rushing against BUF defense Chargers win 2 games in a row? Wow. Chargers by 9.

Giants vs Cowboys NYG offense has the advantage in passing against DAL defense DAL defense will control in rushing against NYG offense DAL offense will control in passing against NYG defense DAL offense will dominate in rushing against NYG defense The Giants can pass. That’s for sure. But the Cowboys should control all other aspects.

Rams vs Seahawks SEA defense will dominate in passing against STL offense SEA defense will kill in rushing against STL offense SEA offense has no advantage in passing against STL defense SEA offense has clear advantage in rushing against STL defense The numbers say Seahawks by 14. The Rams play totally better without Bradford. AJ is out, and Kellen Clemens isn't ready. Bradford plays anyway.